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Designation: 2020 BW · NASA id: 3986739
Estimated diameter: 37 – 82 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
619 kilotonnes – 23.1 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 328.2 days (0.90 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3278597550237561 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .9311131704158937 AU |
| Inclination | 3.381631423533617° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .6258386344639459 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.236387706367841 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.01006 AU = 1,504,670 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 10.21125372263576° |
| Argument of perihelion | 249.2841229042643° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 68.75691861670828° / 1.096984192217947°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.386 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 22:14:49 |
| Observed | 2020-01-17 to 2020-02-05 (19 day arc, 42 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 4 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 120 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 96 of them were approaches to Earth, 23 of them were approaches to Venus and 1 of them were approaches to Moon.
This one’s path runs from 0.626 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.236 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 328.2 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0101 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2026-10-21
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2081-10-13 | Earth | 42445.07 | 7,686,144 km 20.0 LD |
| 2065-02-10 | Earth | 28652.06 | 13,246,795 km 34.5 LD |
| 2064-05-29 | Earth | 49792.63 | 57,742,141 km 150 LD |
| 2063-11-17 | Earth | 28175.89 | 34,368,419 km 89.4 LD |
| 2063-08-19 | Earth | 28910.97 | 43,605,424 km 113 LD |
| 2063-08-11 | Venus | 37585.18 | 1,385,225 km 3.60 LD |
| 2062-10-23 | Earth | 70595.40 | 45,691,919 km 119 LD |
| 2056-02-11 | Earth | 31615.25 | 9,624,259 km 25.0 LD |
| 2055-05-28 | Earth | 49440.27 | 57,614,840 km 150 LD |
| 2054-11-18 | Earth | 28117.01 | 34,369,070 km 89.4 LD |
| 2054-08-19 | Earth | 29248.97 | 43,856,686 km 114 LD |
| 2053-10-23 | Earth | 70585.67 | 45,588,415 km 119 LD |
| 2053-07-15 | Venus | 44816.32 | 9,553,381 km 24.9 LD |
| 2051-11-17 | Venus | 28443.70 | 11,163,661 km 29.0 LD |
| 2047-02-11 | Earth | 33617.94 | 7,775,524 km 20.2 LD |
| 2046-05-25 | Earth | 49056.73 | 57,257,057 km 149 LD |
| 2045-11-21 | Earth | 28585.63 | 35,569,255 km 92.5 LD |
| 2045-08-14 | Earth | 31558.29 | 45,643,791 km 119 LD |
| 2044-10-21 | Earth | 67664.02 | 41,672,836 km 108 LD |
| 2040-02-09 | Venus | 30814.48 | 15,797,387 km 41.1 LD |
| 2038-05-28 | Venus | 57028.22 | 17,618,428 km 45.8 LD |
| 2038-02-11 | Earth | 35621.79 | 6,668,455 km 17.3 LD |
| 2037-05-22 | Earth | 48630.28 | 56,945,140 km 148 LD |
| 2036-11-23 | Earth | 28946.03 | 36,312,235 km 94.5 LD |
| 2036-08-10 | Earth | 33313.14 | 46,868,603 km 122 LD |
| 2035-10-22 | Earth | 65683.14 | 39,136,337 km 102 LD |
| 2029-02-10 | Earth | 36107.32 | 6,578,874 km 17.1 LD |
| 2028-05-22 | Earth | 48451.50 | 56,840,914 km 148 LD |
| 2028-05-08 | Venus | 27610.47 | 10,728,853 km 27.9 LD |
| 2027-11-24 | Earth | 29019.42 | 36,457,762 km 94.8 LD |
| 2027-08-10 | Earth | 33642.51 | 47,145,648 km 123 LD |
| 2026-10-21 next | Earth | 65284.91 | 38,529,546 km 100 LD |
| 2026-09-14 | Venus | 41602.25 | 4,278,310 km 11.1 LD |
| 2020-02-11 | Earth | 29053.78 | 12,592,466 km 32.8 LD |
| 2019-06-01 | Earth | 50058.29 | 58,125,311 km 151 LD |
| 2018-11-11 | Earth | 27309.44 | 31,798,045 km 82.7 LD |
| 2018-08-28 | Earth | 24059.33 | 40,335,782 km 105 LD |
| 2017-10-25 | Earth | 76163.74 | 52,937,421 km 138 LD |
| 2016-09-12 | Venus | 28799.08 | 14,376,297 km 37.4 LD |
| 2015-01-10 | Venus | 53959.31 | 14,943,090 km 38.9 LD |
| 2012-01-26 | Earth | 85626.86 | 65,271,476 km 170 LD |
| 2011-01-24 | Earth | 25224.50 | 26,758,417 km 69.6 LD |
| 2010-06-15 | Earth | 50544.85 | 58,674,990 km 153 LD |
| 2009-10-20 | Earth | 25379.19 | 20,010,998 km 52.1 LD |
| 2008-10-30 | Earth | 90161.90 | 71,204,988 km 185 LD |
| 2006-10-08 | Venus | 60450.01 | 21,409,596 km 55.7 LD |
| 2005-01-30 | Venus | 30500.58 | 14,985,092 km 39.0 LD |
| 2003-01-31 | Earth | 71624.35 | 47,140,201 km 123 LD |
| 2002-04-08 | Earth | 31495.27 | 44,118,754 km 115 LD |
| 2002-01-03 | Earth | 28297.64 | 35,179,991 km 91.5 LD |
| 2001-06-29 | Earth | 48804.01 | 57,675,820 km 150 LD |
| 2000-10-12 | Earth | 34354.05 | 3,732,707 km 9.71 LD |
| 1995-02-01 | Venus | 54590.38 | 16,759,584 km 43.6 LD |
| 1994-02-02 | Earth | 65693.18 | 39,440,311 km 103 LD |
| 1993-05-27 | Venus | 30024.89 | 14,409,844 km 37.5 LD |
| 1993-04-16 | Earth | 35129.75 | 46,817,502 km 122 LD |
| 1992-12-28 | Earth | 29032.53 | 36,936,695 km 96.1 LD |
| 1992-07-03 | Earth | 47716.70 | 56,972,469 km 148 LD |
| 1991-10-13 | Earth | 36948.89 | 1,466,868 km 3.82 LD |
| 1991-10-13 | Moon | 33498.10 | 1,484,531 km 3.86 LD |
| 1985-02-03 | Earth | 61547.32 | 34,199,962 km 89.0 LD |
| 1984-04-22 | Earth | 38158.43 | 49,106,719 km 128 LD |
| 1983-12-23 | Earth | 29447.54 | 38,042,725 km 99.0 LD |
| 1983-07-10 | Earth | 46257.15 | 56,097,247 km 146 LD |
| 1983-05-24 | Venus | 59777.22 | 20,934,522 km 54.5 LD |
| 1982-10-14 | Earth | 41716.58 | 6,996,863 km 18.2 LD |
| 1976-02-06 | Earth | 53249.34 | 23,529,249 km 61.2 LD |
| 1975-05-03 | Earth | 42774.32 | 52,621,896 km 137 LD |
| 1974-12-13 | Earth | 29906.08 | 38,806,020 km 101 LD |
| 1974-07-20 | Earth | 42765.74 | 53,792,415 km 140 LD |
| 1973-10-16 | Earth | 50793.93 | 19,320,565 km 50.3 LD |
| 1971-09-17 | Venus | 52204.87 | 14,784,014 km 38.5 LD |
| 1970-01-15 | Venus | 28979.86 | 12,987,941 km 33.8 LD |
| 1967-02-09 | Earth | 45058.17 | 13,359,215 km 34.8 LD |
| 1966-05-12 | Earth | 45977.12 | 54,989,996 km 143 LD |
| 1965-12-03 | Earth | 29687.88 | 38,358,431 km 99.8 LD |
| 1965-07-29 | Earth | 38883.69 | 51,063,163 km 133 LD |
| 1964-10-18 | Earth | 57858.35 | 28,701,097 km 74.7 LD |
| 1960-01-08 | Venus | 52823.46 | 15,279,950 km 39.8 LD |
| 1958-02-10 | Earth | 40588.43 | 8,722,054 km 22.7 LD |
| 1957-05-16 | Earth | 47249.19 | 55,871,722 km 145 LD |
| 1956-11-29 | Earth | 29506.16 | 37,768,524 km 98.3 LD |
| 1956-08-02 | Earth | 36773.55 | 49,491,168 km 129 LD |
| 1955-10-19 | Earth | 60714.03 | 32,463,317 km 84.5 LD |
| 1949-02-09 | Earth | 41249.88 | 9,370,168 km 24.4 LD |
| 1948-05-15 | Earth | 46916.35 | 55,641,454 km 145 LD |
| 1947-12-01 | Earth | 29545.63 | 38,078,553 km 99.1 LD |
| 1947-08-01 | Earth | 37607.56 | 50,018,328 km 130 LD |
| 1946-10-18 | Earth | 59084.04 | 30,367,378 km 79.0 LD |
| 1944-11-22 | Venus | 53313.64 | 14,456,860 km 37.6 LD |
| 1940-02-09 | Earth | 44228.12 | 12,450,046 km 32.4 LD |
| 1939-05-12 | Earth | 45916.65 | 54,899,940 km 143 LD |
| 1938-12-04 | Earth | 29710.44 | 38,515,230 km 100 LD |
| 1938-07-28 | Earth | 39138.63 | 51,194,812 km 133 LD |
| 1937-10-17 | Earth | 56508.03 | 26,900,155 km 70.0 LD |
| 1934-10-26 | Venus | 33898.97 | 6,488,074 km 16.9 LD |
| 1933-03-06 | Venus | 32801.33 | 3,846,961 km 10.0 LD |
| 1931-02-07 | Earth | 50107.46 | 19,394,412 km 50.5 LD |
| 1930-05-04 | Earth | 43295.49 | 52,907,212 km 138 LD |
| 1929-12-12 | Earth | 29972.60 | 39,287,843 km 102 LD |
| 1929-07-18 | Earth | 43045.76 | 53,820,893 km 140 LD |
| 1928-10-14 | Earth | 48436.67 | 15,935,048 km 41.5 LD |
| 1922-02-03 | Earth | 61622.26 | 34,220,918 km 89.0 LD |
| 1921-04-30 | Venus | 27656.83 | 13,140,282 km 34.2 LD |
| 1921-04-19 | Earth | 37150.63 | 48,201,376 km 125 LD |
| 1920-12-25 | Earth | 29318.61 | 37,921,904 km 98.7 LD |
| 1920-07-05 | Earth | 47237.55 | 56,602,893 km 147 LD |
| 1919-10-13 | Earth | 37666.42 | 1,645,743 km 4.28 LD |
| 1919-08-30 | Venus | 43159.14 | 5,427,193 km 14.1 LD |
| 1913-02-05 | Earth | 52457.29 | 22,533,524 km 58.6 LD |
| 1912-05-03 | Earth | 43577.09 | 53,185,360 km 138 LD |
| 1911-12-10 | Earth | 29858.69 | 38,750,250 km 101 LD |
| 1911-07-21 | Earth | 41989.03 | 53,315,341 km 139 LD |
| 1910-10-16 | Earth | 53113.40 | 22,333,561 km 58.1 LD |
| 1909-09-11 | Venus | 31023.65 | 16,068,049 km 41.8 LD |
| 1904-02-10 | Earth | 36849.90 | 7,233,923 km 18.8 LD |
| 1903-05-22 | Earth | 48698.25 | 57,058,139 km 148 LD |
| 1902-11-21 | Earth | 28682.05 | 35,565,435 km 92.5 LD |
| 1902-08-12 | Earth | 31937.29 | 46,058,897 km 120 LD |
| 1901-10-21 | Earth | 68765.71 | 43,168,333 km 112 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-16T17:29:01.388429+00:00.