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Designation: 2020 BM1 · NASA id: 3986764
Estimated diameter: 20 – 45 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
186 kilotonnes – 6.9 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 295.3 days (0.81 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3287850767603843 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .867929876250481 AU |
| Inclination | 15.42563309229597° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .5825674852648358 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.153292267236126 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.07588 AU = 11,351,442 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 304.536827535767° |
| Argument of perihelion | 27.89568391727271° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 197.7728602550931° / 1.218925371302019°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.739 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 22:14:53 |
| Observed | 2020-01-18 to 2020-01-20 (2 day arc, 20 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 146 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 132 of them were approaches to Earth and 14 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.583 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.153 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 295.3 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0759 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2028-01-21
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2198-04-06 | Earth | 44990.52 | 41,933,974 km 109 LD |
| 2197-01-20 | Earth | 84045.53 | 63,898,052 km 166 LD |
| 2194-03-30 | Earth | 73889.08 | 66,044,486 km 172 LD |
| 2193-01-13 | Earth | 56206.51 | 27,583,127 km 71.8 LD |
| 2177-04-03 | Earth | 60963.99 | 53,447,475 km 139 LD |
| 2176-01-16 | Earth | 68212.84 | 43,343,208 km 113 LD |
| 2172-01-13 | Earth | 43334.43 | 12,251,194 km 31.9 LD |
| 2160-04-05 | Earth | 47339.64 | 43,164,123 km 112 LD |
| 2159-01-19 | Earth | 81656.82 | 60,838,283 km 158 LD |
| 2156-03-29 | Earth | 76025.32 | 68,260,324 km 178 LD |
| 2155-01-13 | Earth | 54394.75 | 25,272,758 km 65.7 LD |
| 2139-04-03 | Earth | 62488.37 | 54,786,040 km 143 LD |
| 2138-01-15 | Earth | 66696.16 | 41,408,302 km 108 LD |
| 2134-01-13 | Earth | 42144.67 | 11,570,256 km 30.1 LD |
| 2122-04-05 | Earth | 49180.81 | 44,229,536 km 115 LD |
| 2121-01-18 | Earth | 79694.32 | 58,344,591 km 152 LD |
| 2118-03-28 | Earth | 78184.56 | 70,509,253 km 183 LD |
| 2117-01-12 | Earth | 52506.30 | 22,854,117 km 59.5 LD |
| 2113-01-21 | Earth | 36733.66 | 16,665,428 km 43.4 LD |
| 2105-04-01 | Earth | 36831.49 | 38,653,700 km 101 LD |
| 2104-09-16 | Earth | 59191.50 | 66,092,910 km 172 LD |
| 2101-04-01 | Earth | 64417.28 | 56,541,274 km 147 LD |
| 2100-08-19 | Earth | 64534.00 | 64,991,303 km 169 LD |
| 2100-01-14 | Earth | 64958.61 | 39,174,083 km 102 LD |
| 2096-07-21 | Earth | 60609.11 | 60,906,671 km 158 LD |
| 2096-01-13 | Earth | 41295.13 | 11,338,872 km 29.5 LD |
| 2094-12-07 | Venus | 53827.61 | 17,547,760 km 45.6 LD |
| 2092-06-20 | Earth | 48721.96 | 54,470,160 km 142 LD |
| 2092-02-05 | Earth | 35946.24 | 27,009,130 km 70.3 LD |
| 2087-09-30 | Earth | 52642.41 | 64,938,477 km 169 LD |
| 2084-04-03 | Earth | 50590.58 | 45,111,721 km 117 LD |
| 2083-09-01 | Earth | 63303.06 | 65,990,757 km 172 LD |
| 2083-01-17 | Earth | 78334.19 | 56,620,469 km 147 LD |
| 2081-12-23 | Venus | 58970.50 | 16,312,077 km 42.4 LD |
| 2080-03-26 | Earth | 79605.41 | 71,987,330 km 187 LD |
| 2079-08-04 | Earth | 63502.06 | 63,154,619 km 164 LD |
| 2079-01-11 | Earth | 51121.32 | 21,132,684 km 55.0 LD |
| 2075-07-06 | Earth | 55494.21 | 57,919,779 km 151 LD |
| 2075-01-22 | Earth | 36452.80 | 18,054,114 km 47.0 LD |
| 2071-06-01 | Earth | 38458.06 | 49,941,498 km 130 LD |
| 2071-02-21 | Earth | 35668.55 | 33,521,432 km 87.2 LD |
| 2070-10-17 | Earth | 41796.39 | 61,820,044 km 161 LD |
| 2067-04-01 | Earth | 37855.98 | 38,888,013 km 101 LD |
| 2066-09-14 | Earth | 59764.42 | 66,114,249 km 172 LD |
| 2066-08-20 | Venus | 53862.23 | 17,390,848 km 45.2 LD |
| 2066-01-21 | Earth | 91672.76 | 73,792,901 km 192 LD |
| 2063-03-31 | Earth | 66084.05 | 58,069,260 km 151 LD |
| 2062-08-17 | Earth | 64571.05 | 64,832,977 km 169 LD |
| 2062-01-13 | Earth | 63292.40 | 37,033,849 km 96.3 LD |
| 2058-07-20 | Earth | 60207.83 | 60,662,509 km 158 LD |
| 2058-01-13 | Earth | 40507.84 | 11,316,756 km 29.4 LD |
| 2054-06-19 | Earth | 48021.62 | 54,174,692 km 141 LD |
| 2054-02-05 | Earth | 35945.47 | 27,601,056 km 71.8 LD |
| 2053-09-05 | Venus | 59345.06 | 16,589,744 km 43.2 LD |
| 2050-03-13 | Earth | 34544.98 | 37,036,394 km 96.3 LD |
| 2049-09-28 | Earth | 53640.15 | 65,136,937 km 169 LD |
| 2046-04-03 | Earth | 52512.26 | 46,400,024 km 121 LD |
| 2045-08-29 | Earth | 63661.81 | 65,892,758 km 171 LD |
| 2045-01-16 | Earth | 76385.36 | 54,135,943 km 141 LD |
| 2042-03-26 | Earth | 81361.77 | 73,882,880 km 192 LD |
| 2041-08-02 | Earth | 63239.27 | 62,912,218 km 164 LD |
| 2041-01-10 | Earth | 49734.13 | 19,449,679 km 50.6 LD |
| 2038-05-01 | Venus | 54029.18 | 16,912,757 km 44.0 LD |
| 2037-07-04 | Earth | 54756.50 | 57,542,647 km 150 LD |
| 2037-01-23 | Earth | 36259.74 | 19,272,368 km 50.1 LD |
| 2033-05-28 | Earth | 36618.35 | 49,285,093 km 128 LD |
| 2033-02-22 | Earth | 35594.74 | 34,083,134 km 88.7 LD |
| 2032-10-14 | Earth | 43733.48 | 62,413,895 km 162 LD |
| 2029-04-02 | Earth | 39181.78 | 39,253,394 km 102 LD |
| 2028-09-12 | Earth | 60354.49 | 66,144,065 km 172 LD |
| 2028-01-21 next | Earth | 90187.61 | 71,916,317 km 187 LD |
| 2025-05-18 | Venus | 60056.25 | 17,121,189 km 44.5 LD |
| 2025-03-30 | Earth | 67371.89 | 59,285,471 km 154 LD |
| 2024-08-15 | Earth | 64555.20 | 64,686,579 km 168 LD |
| 2024-01-13 | Earth | 62003.93 | 35,392,214 km 92.1 LD |
| 2020-07-18 | Earth | 59719.95 | 60,369,138 km 157 LD |
| 2020-01-14 | Earth | 39647.20 | 11,624,297 km 30.2 LD |
| 2016-06-16 | Earth | 46822.61 | 53,666,435 km 140 LD |
| 2016-02-08 | Earth | 35962.06 | 28,608,516 km 74.4 LD |
| 2012-03-15 | Earth | 34508.34 | 37,187,679 km 96.7 LD |
| 2011-09-26 | Earth | 54642.93 | 65,323,415 km 170 LD |
| 2010-01-11 | Venus | 54164.85 | 16,501,231 km 42.9 LD |
| 2008-04-02 | Earth | 54463.78 | 47,812,618 km 124 LD |
| 2007-08-28 | Earth | 63956.54 | 65,764,399 km 171 LD |
| 2007-01-16 | Earth | 74298.31 | 51,474,531 km 134 LD |
| 2003-07-31 | Earth | 62870.41 | 62,595,728 km 163 LD |
| 2003-01-11 | Earth | 47900.21 | 17,266,966 km 44.9 LD |
| 1999-07-02 | Earth | 53929.70 | 57,141,158 km 149 LD |
| 1999-01-25 | Earth | 36112.77 | 20,576,361 km 53.5 LD |
| 1997-01-27 | Venus | 60999.84 | 17,859,693 km 46.5 LD |
| 1995-05-25 | Earth | 34635.54 | 48,591,659 km 126 LD |
| 1995-02-25 | Earth | 35504.84 | 34,580,442 km 90.0 LD |
| 1994-10-12 | Earth | 45493.35 | 62,922,348 km 164 LD |
| 1991-04-03 | Earth | 41195.14 | 39,931,805 km 104 LD |
| 1990-09-10 | Earth | 61150.46 | 66,162,534 km 172 LD |
| 1990-01-20 | Earth | 87774.93 | 68,877,323 km 179 LD |
| 1987-03-30 | Earth | 69716.72 | 61,563,937 km 160 LD |
| 1986-08-13 | Earth | 64500.53 | 64,455,113 km 168 LD |
| 1986-01-12 | Earth | 59909.82 | 32,693,688 km 85.1 LD |
| 1982-07-16 | Earth | 59112.56 | 60,005,307 km 156 LD |
| 1982-01-14 | Earth | 38797.93 | 12,283,870 km 32.0 LD |
| 1981-09-23 | Venus | 54363.16 | 16,144,306 km 42.0 LD |
| 1978-06-14 | Earth | 45322.14 | 53,020,201 km 138 LD |
| 1978-02-10 | Earth | 35948.72 | 29,705,939 km 77.3 LD |
| 1974-03-19 | Earth | 34564.47 | 37,401,609 km 97.3 LD |
| 1973-09-23 | Earth | 55933.83 | 65,555,144 km 171 LD |
| 1970-04-02 | Earth | 56538.90 | 49,426,010 km 129 LD |
| 1969-08-25 | Earth | 64198.34 | 65,626,172 km 171 LD |
| 1969-01-14 | Earth | 72310.66 | 48,938,345 km 127 LD |
| 1968-10-09 | Venus | 62608.61 | 19,156,891 km 49.8 LD |
| 1965-07-28 | Earth | 62396.52 | 62,211,931 km 162 LD |
| 1965-01-10 | Earth | 46049.16 | 15,219,105 km 39.6 LD |
| 1961-06-29 | Earth | 52641.53 | 56,518,421 km 147 LD |
| 1961-01-27 | Earth | 35976.40 | 22,403,744 km 58.3 LD |
| 1957-02-28 | Earth | 35345.74 | 35,153,058 km 91.4 LD |
| 1956-10-08 | Earth | 47554.53 | 63,521,413 km 165 LD |
| 1953-06-04 | Venus | 54752.80 | 15,700,117 km 40.8 LD |
| 1953-04-03 | Earth | 43397.42 | 40,832,795 km 106 LD |
| 1952-09-07 | Earth | 61858.80 | 66,140,713 km 172 LD |
| 1952-01-19 | Earth | 85353.91 | 65,801,249 km 171 LD |
| 1949-03-28 | Earth | 72320.27 | 64,175,023 km 167 LD |
| 1948-08-10 | Earth | 64345.28 | 64,148,753 km 167 LD |
| 1948-01-12 | Earth | 57465.85 | 29,560,083 km 76.9 LD |
| 1944-07-13 | Earth | 58356.57 | 59,582,296 km 155 LD |
| 1944-01-16 | Earth | 37979.38 | 13,394,017 km 34.8 LD |
| 1940-06-21 | Venus | 63376.33 | 19,833,383 km 51.6 LD |
| 1940-06-10 | Earth | 43910.51 | 52,445,955 km 136 LD |
| 1940-02-12 | Earth | 35929.69 | 30,614,455 km 79.6 LD |
| 1935-09-21 | Earth | 57173.02 | 65,730,888 km 171 LD |
| 1932-04-01 | Earth | 59250.63 | 51,657,702 km 134 LD |
| 1931-08-23 | Earth | 64442.50 | 65,435,104 km 170 LD |
| 1931-01-14 | Earth | 69642.99 | 45,518,982 km 118 LD |
| 1927-07-26 | Earth | 61924.05 | 61,859,824 km 161 LD |
| 1927-01-11 | Earth | 44367.06 | 13,590,991 km 35.4 LD |
| 1925-02-13 | Venus | 55417.30 | 15,404,632 km 40.1 LD |
| 1923-06-26 | Earth | 51431.72 | 55,952,315 km 146 LD |
| 1923-01-30 | Earth | 35917.91 | 23,951,177 km 62.3 LD |
| 1915-04-03 | Earth | 45618.65 | 41,890,535 km 109 LD |
| 1914-09-05 | Earth | 62468.47 | 66,108,328 km 172 LD |
| 1914-01-18 | Earth | 83124.92 | 62,982,907 km 164 LD |
| 1912-03-03 | Venus | 65064.98 | 21,298,382 km 55.4 LD |
| 1911-03-28 | Earth | 74437.49 | 66,328,147 km 173 LD |
| 1910-08-08 | Earth | 64175.34 | 63,887,909 km 166 LD |
| 1910-01-11 | Earth | 55454.10 | 26,993,458 km 70.2 LD |
| 1906-07-11 | Earth | 57466.42 | 59,082,705 km 154 LD |
| 1906-01-17 | Earth | 37275.78 | 14,885,769 km 38.7 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-04T21:00:36.185644+00:00.