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Designation: 2020 BN10 · NASA id: 3989242
· Potentially Hazardous
Estimated diameter: 168 – 377 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
109.2 megatonnes – 4,068 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 326.4 days (0.89 years) |
| Eccentricity | .344304485961177 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .9277688402089332 AU |
| Inclination | 20.5242722008135° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .6083338665899991 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.247203813827867 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.04772 AU = 7,139,469 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 185.7476324008869° |
| Argument of perihelion | 69.01283089983356° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 77.70713609142496° / 1.102920985980645°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.351 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2023-03-01 06:06:31 |
| Observed | 2010-09-30 to 2021-01-05 (3750 day arc, 57 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 2 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 185 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 158 of them were approaches to Earth and 27 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.608 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.247 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 326.4 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0477 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2027-07-21
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2199-12-12 | Venus | 72562.71 | 12,733,740 km 33.1 LD |
| 2198-02-01 | Earth | 90998.99 | 67,450,198 km 175 LD |
| 2197-03-27 | Earth | 51580.00 | 41,302,683 km 107 LD |
| 2196-06-17 | Earth | 54548.76 | 73,313,360 km 191 LD |
| 2195-10-03 | Earth | 47130.19 | 14,779,097 km 38.4 LD |
| 2190-02-10 | Venus | 64070.19 | 2,987,186 km 7.77 LD |
| 2189-02-25 | Earth | 59081.45 | 31,465,897 km 81.9 LD |
| 2188-05-12 | Earth | 58036.69 | 65,522,594 km 170 LD |
| 2187-10-20 | Earth | 38025.42 | 54,645,609 km 142 LD |
| 2186-10-16 | Earth | 77442.98 | 39,648,768 km 103 LD |
| 2181-02-04 | Earth | 85871.48 | 60,955,731 km 159 LD |
| 2180-04-09 | Venus | 62437.62 | 2,835,989 km 7.38 LD |
| 2180-04-01 | Earth | 52197.59 | 44,880,428 km 117 LD |
| 2179-06-24 | Earth | 53017.33 | 73,276,697 km 191 LD |
| 2178-10-04 | Earth | 49923.91 | 10,038,244 km 26.1 LD |
| 2172-02-28 | Earth | 57599.77 | 30,754,072 km 80.0 LD |
| 2171-05-15 | Earth | 58161.35 | 66,704,575 km 174 LD |
| 2170-10-14 | Earth | 38053.40 | 51,620,550 km 134 LD |
| 2170-06-08 | Venus | 59560.23 | 6,168,954 km 16.0 LD |
| 2169-10-17 | Earth | 80167.30 | 43,735,772 km 114 LD |
| 2164-02-08 | Earth | 80881.22 | 54,729,318 km 142 LD |
| 2163-04-09 | Earth | 53305.95 | 49,150,229 km 128 LD |
| 2162-12-22 | Earth | 30949.73 | 69,005,163 km 180 LD |
| 2162-07-02 | Earth | 50470.35 | 72,631,511 km 189 LD |
| 2161-10-06 | Earth | 54561.21 | 7,518,747 km 19.6 LD |
| 2160-08-08 | Venus | 54813.29 | 15,822,318 km 41.2 LD |
| 2155-03-08 | Earth | 53141.51 | 31,482,913 km 81.9 LD |
| 2154-05-28 | Earth | 57967.92 | 70,523,720 km 183 LD |
| 2153-09-30 | Earth | 39097.68 | 37,149,443 km 96.6 LD |
| 2152-10-21 | Earth | 91144.38 | 59,451,455 km 155 LD |
| 2147-02-15 | Earth | 69723.00 | 41,349,948 km 108 LD |
| 2146-04-25 | Earth | 56121.03 | 57,946,741 km 151 LD |
| 2145-11-17 | Earth | 36533.38 | 65,534,293 km 170 LD |
| 2145-07-22 | Earth | 43520.60 | 68,335,338 km 178 LD |
| 2144-10-11 | Earth | 65827.98 | 22,356,172 km 58.2 LD |
| 2142-09-23 | Venus | 77927.05 | 18,886,665 km 49.1 LD |
| 2139-01-31 | Earth | 94223.67 | 71,603,498 km 186 LD |
| 2138-03-23 | Earth | 51375.65 | 38,987,186 km 101 LD |
| 2137-06-13 | Earth | 55454.53 | 73,131,058 km 190 LD |
| 2136-10-01 | Earth | 45265.03 | 18,636,514 km 48.5 LD |
| 2132-11-23 | Venus | 66652.90 | 5,639,190 km 14.7 LD |
| 2130-02-23 | Earth | 60888.80 | 32,702,087 km 85.1 LD |
| 2129-05-08 | Earth | 57810.51 | 64,255,809 km 167 LD |
| 2128-10-25 | Earth | 38035.98 | 57,105,028 km 149 LD |
| 2128-08-16 | Earth | 37357.53 | 60,443,003 km 157 LD |
| 2127-10-15 | Earth | 75334.71 | 36,571,947 km 95.1 LD |
| 2123-01-22 | Venus | 62812.01 | 2,699,207 km 7.02 LD |
| 2122-02-03 | Earth | 87087.54 | 62,494,482 km 163 LD |
| 2121-03-31 | Earth | 52084.36 | 44,118,559 km 115 LD |
| 2120-06-21 | Earth | 53327.72 | 73,318,675 km 191 LD |
| 2119-10-04 | Earth | 49338.80 | 10,904,657 km 28.4 LD |
| 2113-03-22 | Venus | 59369.47 | 6,504,790 km 16.9 LD |
| 2113-02-26 | Earth | 58052.17 | 30,981,554 km 80.6 LD |
| 2112-05-14 | Earth | 58154.91 | 66,460,774 km 173 LD |
| 2111-10-15 | Earth | 38027.63 | 51,989,297 km 135 LD |
| 2110-10-17 | Earth | 80052.65 | 43,493,599 km 113 LD |
| 2105-02-07 | Earth | 81007.68 | 54,883,537 km 143 LD |
| 2104-04-08 | Earth | 53335.82 | 49,026,240 km 128 LD |
| 2103-12-22 | Earth | 30933.52 | 68,985,972 km 179 LD |
| 2103-07-01 | Earth | 50485.80 | 72,669,531 km 189 LD |
| 2103-05-23 | Venus | 54749.49 | 15,965,573 km 41.5 LD |
| 2102-10-06 | Earth | 54471.10 | 7,439,485 km 19.4 LD |
| 2096-03-07 | Earth | 53127.17 | 31,562,190 km 82.1 LD |
| 2095-05-27 | Earth | 57929.30 | 70,552,265 km 184 LD |
| 2094-09-29 | Earth | 39122.98 | 37,032,536 km 96.3 LD |
| 2093-10-21 | Earth | 91224.46 | 59,472,509 km 155 LD |
| 2088-02-14 | Earth | 69641.68 | 41,272,697 km 107 LD |
| 2087-04-24 | Earth | 56140.68 | 58,006,684 km 151 LD |
| 2086-11-15 | Earth | 36556.13 | 65,424,972 km 170 LD |
| 2086-07-21 | Earth | 43490.18 | 68,288,498 km 178 LD |
| 2085-10-10 | Earth | 65901.48 | 22,492,740 km 58.5 LD |
| 2085-07-06 | Venus | 78238.59 | 19,246,765 km 50.1 LD |
| 2080-01-30 | Earth | 94223.16 | 71,712,291 km 187 LD |
| 2079-03-22 | Earth | 51402.30 | 38,952,674 km 101 LD |
| 2078-06-12 | Earth | 55462.61 | 73,121,616 km 190 LD |
| 2077-09-30 | Earth | 45203.71 | 18,673,562 km 48.6 LD |
| 2075-09-06 | Venus | 66699.93 | 5,720,391 km 14.9 LD |
| 2071-02-21 | Earth | 61472.59 | 33,185,310 km 86.3 LD |
| 2070-05-07 | Earth | 57707.30 | 63,835,651 km 166 LD |
| 2069-10-25 | Earth | 37981.83 | 57,809,028 km 150 LD |
| 2069-08-12 | Earth | 37707.41 | 61,244,698 km 159 LD |
| 2068-10-13 | Earth | 74561.69 | 35,495,041 km 92.3 LD |
| 2065-11-04 | Venus | 62805.65 | 2,728,867 km 7.10 LD |
| 2063-02-02 | Earth | 87659.99 | 63,319,114 km 165 LD |
| 2062-03-29 | Earth | 52014.97 | 43,664,758 km 114 LD |
| 2061-06-20 | Earth | 53522.57 | 73,327,604 km 191 LD |
| 2060-10-02 | Earth | 48989.25 | 11,431,597 km 29.7 LD |
| 2056-01-03 | Venus | 59007.01 | 7,084,480 km 18.4 LD |
| 2054-02-25 | Earth | 58112.95 | 31,054,977 km 80.8 LD |
| 2053-05-13 | Earth | 58130.98 | 66,436,527 km 173 LD |
| 2052-10-13 | Earth | 38066.53 | 51,893,885 km 135 LD |
| 2051-10-16 | Earth | 80078.34 | 43,565,282 km 113 LD |
| 2046-03-05 | Venus | 54611.00 | 16,395,301 km 42.7 LD |
| 2046-02-06 | Earth | 81082.92 | 55,043,235 km 143 LD |
| 2045-04-07 | Earth | 53336.36 | 48,986,973 km 127 LD |
| 2044-12-20 | Earth | 31004.84 | 68,963,845 km 179 LD |
| 2044-06-30 | Earth | 50470.60 | 72,668,338 km 189 LD |
| 2043-10-05 | Earth | 54609.32 | 7,420,182 km 19.3 LD |
| 2037-03-07 | Earth | 53129.99 | 31,632,283 km 82.3 LD |
| 2036-05-26 | Earth | 57916.83 | 70,544,525 km 184 LD |
| 2035-09-30 | Earth | 39176.78 | 36,953,727 km 96.1 LD |
| 2034-10-21 | Earth | 91300.79 | 59,576,078 km 155 LD |
| 2029-02-13 | Earth | 69493.11 | 41,181,429 km 107 LD |
| 2028-04-23 | Earth | 56160.90 | 58,075,183 km 151 LD |
| 2028-04-19 | Venus | 78289.46 | 19,333,051 km 50.3 LD |
| 2027-11-15 | Earth | 36604.13 | 65,364,559 km 170 LD |
| 2027-07-21 next | Earth | 43487.96 | 68,303,855 km 178 LD |
| 2026-10-10 | Earth | 65867.31 | 22,350,835 km 58.1 LD |
| 2021-01-29 | Earth | 94241.40 | 71,772,620 km 187 LD |
| 2020-03-21 | Earth | 51404.63 | 38,952,584 km 101 LD |
| 2019-06-12 | Earth | 55547.53 | 73,103,058 km 190 LD |
| 2018-09-30 | Earth | 45140.38 | 18,731,925 km 48.7 LD |
| 2018-06-20 | Venus | 66730.55 | 5,761,183 km 15.0 LD |
| 2012-02-21 | Earth | 61983.50 | 33,663,453 km 87.6 LD |
| 2011-05-06 | Earth | 57651.92 | 63,427,439 km 165 LD |
| 2010-10-27 | Earth | 37966.99 | 58,472,287 km 152 LD |
| 2010-08-10 | Earth | 38055.38 | 61,982,897 km 161 LD |
| 2009-10-13 | Earth | 73852.06 | 34,418,805 km 89.5 LD |
| 2008-08-18 | Venus | 62795.78 | 2,745,453 km 7.14 LD |
| 2004-02-02 | Earth | 88158.63 | 64,035,399 km 167 LD |
| 2003-03-29 | Earth | 51940.66 | 43,273,371 km 113 LD |
| 2002-06-19 | Earth | 53768.46 | 73,322,064 km 191 LD |
| 2001-10-02 | Earth | 48594.90 | 11,975,130 km 31.2 LD |
| 1998-10-17 | Venus | 58697.99 | 7,613,013 km 19.8 LD |
| 1995-02-25 | Earth | 58151.46 | 31,131,262 km 81.0 LD |
| 1994-05-13 | Earth | 58144.50 | 66,394,218 km 173 LD |
| 1993-10-14 | Earth | 38129.75 | 51,870,278 km 135 LD |
| 1992-10-15 | Earth | 80011.77 | 43,518,685 km 113 LD |
| 1988-12-17 | Venus | 54500.63 | 16,779,274 km 43.7 LD |
| 1987-02-06 | Earth | 81032.31 | 55,093,874 km 143 LD |
| 1986-04-07 | Earth | 53346.59 | 49,003,759 km 127 LD |
| 1985-12-20 | Earth | 31056.38 | 68,950,607 km 179 LD |
| 1985-06-30 | Earth | 50498.76 | 72,651,652 km 189 LD |
| 1984-10-04 | Earth | 54677.76 | 7,380,955 km 19.2 LD |
| 1978-03-07 | Earth | 53160.94 | 31,642,708 km 82.3 LD |
| 1977-05-26 | Earth | 57988.64 | 70,502,464 km 183 LD |
| 1976-09-29 | Earth | 39191.58 | 36,942,493 km 96.1 LD |
| 1975-10-21 | Earth | 91289.08 | 59,622,654 km 155 LD |
| 1971-01-31 | Venus | 78529.64 | 19,605,005 km 51.0 LD |
| 1970-02-13 | Earth | 69564.37 | 41,350,901 km 108 LD |
| 1969-04-23 | Earth | 56165.14 | 57,886,084 km 151 LD |
| 1968-11-15 | Earth | 36632.54 | 65,460,128 km 170 LD |
| 1968-07-20 | Earth | 43563.67 | 68,465,190 km 178 LD |
| 1967-10-10 | Earth | 65689.02 | 22,023,371 km 57.3 LD |
| 1962-01-29 | Earth | 94456.84 | 72,037,981 km 187 LD |
| 1961-04-03 | Venus | 67177.39 | 6,319,555 km 16.4 LD |
| 1961-03-21 | Earth | 51429.89 | 38,816,423 km 101 LD |
| 1960-06-11 | Earth | 55749.22 | 73,021,150 km 190 LD |
| 1959-09-30 | Earth | 44657.41 | 19,851,282 km 51.6 LD |
| 1953-02-20 | Earth | 62343.84 | 34,047,662 km 88.6 LD |
| 1952-05-04 | Earth | 57658.14 | 63,106,960 km 164 LD |
| 1951-10-28 | Earth | 38005.51 | 58,926,247 km 153 LD |
| 1951-08-08 | Earth | 38350.08 | 62,513,552 km 163 LD |
| 1951-06-02 | Venus | 62531.81 | 2,854,823 km 7.43 LD |
| 1950-10-13 | Earth | 73441.13 | 33,723,364 km 87.7 LD |
| 1945-02-01 | Earth | 87564.62 | 63,301,016 km 165 LD |
| 1944-03-29 | Earth | 52095.73 | 43,850,959 km 114 LD |
| 1943-06-20 | Earth | 53476.92 | 73,306,781 km 191 LD |
| 1942-10-02 | Earth | 49260.78 | 10,815,249 km 28.1 LD |
| 1941-08-02 | Venus | 56940.53 | 10,918,440 km 28.4 LD |
| 1936-02-27 | Earth | 56968.32 | 30,777,901 km 80.1 LD |
| 1935-05-16 | Earth | 58304.54 | 67,264,566 km 175 LD |
| 1934-10-10 | Earth | 38140.02 | 49,211,543 km 128 LD |
| 1933-10-16 | Earth | 82175.25 | 46,597,104 km 121 LD |
| 1931-10-04 | Venus | 53310.20 | 21,210,438 km 55.2 LD |
| 1928-02-07 | Earth | 78677.39 | 52,208,642 km 136 LD |
| 1927-04-11 | Earth | 53973.36 | 50,859,601 km 132 LD |
| 1926-12-10 | Earth | 32841.89 | 68,929,974 km 179 LD |
| 1926-07-04 | Earth | 49185.83 | 72,149,968 km 188 LD |
| 1925-10-05 | Earth | 56754.46 | 9,184,138 km 23.9 LD |
| 1919-03-10 | Earth | 52346.30 | 32,906,300 km 85.6 LD |
| 1918-05-30 | Earth | 57677.61 | 71,345,282 km 186 LD |
| 1917-09-29 | Earth | 40219.91 | 32,438,493 km 84.4 LD |
| 1916-10-21 | Earth | 94532.55 | 64,116,796 km 167 LD |
| 1913-11-16 | Venus | 73663.59 | 14,082,119 km 36.6 LD |
| 1911-02-15 | Earth | 67100.77 | 38,688,409 km 101 LD |
| 1910-04-27 | Earth | 56792.61 | 59,734,151 km 155 LD |
| 1909-11-09 | Earth | 37303.37 | 63,473,860 km 165 LD |
| 1909-07-25 | Earth | 41735.19 | 66,766,330 km 174 LD |
| 1908-10-10 | Earth | 68424.86 | 26,248,717 km 68.3 LD |
| 1904-01-17 | Venus | 63864.08 | 2,985,088 km 7.77 LD |
| 1903-01-30 | Earth | 92161.43 | 69,143,705 km 180 LD |
| 1902-03-23 | Earth | 51589.29 | 40,210,813 km 105 LD |
| 1901-06-13 | Earth | 55172.29 | 73,190,815 km 190 LD |
| 1900-09-30 | Earth | 45818.44 | 17,291,768 km 45.0 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-05T23:41:40.195037+00:00.