Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

← Back to current tracker · Insights · Impact risk · Lost asteroids · What arrived

(2020 CD1)

Designation: 2020 CD1 · NASA id: 3989648

Estimated diameter: 16 – 36 meters

≈ the Chelyabinsk object
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 26.1) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 7.6 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

125 kilotonnes – 4.6 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period328.8 days (0.90 years)
Eccentricity.2510689178889885 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.9322266541198828 AU
Inclination29.04190310849039° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.6981735168427315 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.166279791397034 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.01833 AU = 2,742,623 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude132.1721960746799°
Argument of perihelion238.3889798244219°
Mean anomaly / motion96.32595519861567° / 1.095019365532586°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.298 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2458883.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 22:19:21
Observed2020-02-03 to 2020-02-04 (1 day arc, 16 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty8 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 48 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Venus? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 38 of them were approaches to Earth and 10 of them were approaches to Venus.

This one’s path runs from 0.698 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.166 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 328.8 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0183 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2029-01-31

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2117-02-15 Venus 64266.21 4,882,950 km
12.7 LD
2113-06-16 Earth 87298.38 72,959,999 km
190 LD
2112-08-04 Earth 64310.87 35,664,023 km
92.8 LD
2112-02-06 Earth 54085.10 52,437,192 km
136 LD
2111-02-07 Earth 72200.04 32,486,810 km
84.5 LD
2029-01-31 next Earth 59094.37 3,913,976 km
10.2 LD
2026-01-27 Venus 64425.79 4,501,939 km
11.7 LD
2021-07-13 Earth 68926.34 38,739,945 km
101 LD
2020-09-12 Earth 62869.12 61,909,173 km
161 LD
2020-02-01 Earth 58537.08 2,906,458 km
7.56 LD
2014-05-19 Venus 69153.96 9,456,854 km
24.6 LD
2011-02-01 Earth 59254.56 4,237,322 km
11.0 LD
2002-09-08 Venus 71423.15 13,179,873 km
34.3 LD
2002-02-01 Earth 61820.27 10,633,703 km
27.7 LD
1993-02-02 Earth 65481.46 18,975,369 km
49.4 LD
1990-12-31 Venus 70842.36 12,146,147 km
31.6 LD
1985-07-28 Earth 65296.01 34,775,792 km
90.5 LD
1985-02-07 Earth 54833.60 59,001,128 km
153 LD
1984-02-05 Earth 69453.89 27,202,668 km
70.8 LD
1979-04-24 Venus 70507.24 11,564,957 km
30.1 LD
1976-08-01 Earth 64724.79 35,968,045 km
93.6 LD
1976-02-05 Earth 54040.90 52,280,710 km
136 LD
1975-02-06 Earth 73356.33 34,760,457 km
90.4 LD
1968-06-15 Earth 85401.74 70,418,544 km
183 LD
1967-08-16 Venus 71306.77 12,902,227 km
33.6 LD
1967-02-03 Earth 53413.28 46,025,756 km
120 LD
1966-02-07 Earth 77037.84 41,484,005 km
108 LD
1958-02-01 Earth 53017.51 40,980,499 km
107 LD
1957-02-08 Earth 80309.64 47,081,512 km
122 LD
1949-01-31 Earth 52888.27 36,917,694 km
96.0 LD
1948-02-10 Earth 82806.41 51,323,273 km
134 LD
1940-01-31 Earth 52825.68 33,567,445 km
87.3 LD
1939-02-10 Earth 84866.67 54,811,517 km
143 LD
1931-01-30 Earth 52855.79 30,461,508 km
79.2 LD
1930-09-24 Venus 60986.19 21,519,018 km
56.0 LD
1930-02-11 Earth 86793.06 57,930,151 km
151 LD
1922-01-30 Earth 53019.34 27,331,668 km
71.1 LD
1921-02-11 Earth 88835.57 61,163,126 km
159 LD
1919-01-14 Venus 61561.40 13,868,234 km
36.1 LD
1914-06-28 Earth 76211.19 53,452,806 km
139 LD
1913-08-22 Earth 64210.62 48,118,236 km
125 LD
1913-01-29 Earth 53235.78 24,143,474 km
62.8 LD
1912-02-13 Earth 90903.63 64,533,248 km
168 LD
1907-05-06 Venus 63111.01 7,269,737 km
18.9 LD
1905-06-30 Earth 75031.47 51,088,556 km
133 LD
1904-08-25 Earth 64203.14 50,101,456 km
130 LD
1904-01-30 Earth 53646.56 20,315,486 km
52.8 LD
1903-02-13 Earth 93470.77 68,595,920 km
178 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-06T11:38:49.326726+00:00.