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Designation: 2020 DT2 · NASA id: 3994621
Estimated diameter: 8 – 18 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
8 kilotonnes – 299 kilotonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 381.1 days (1.04 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3833508658293506 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.028704725756621 AU |
| Inclination | 1.949660249680092° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .634349878455076 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.423059573058167 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.00638 AU = 954,989 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 346.3900301491434° |
| Argument of perihelion | 276.3826731552768° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 115.9837237677312° / .9446435672259144°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.879 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 22:20:00 |
| Observed | 2020-02-21 to 2020-02-23 (2 day arc, 31 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 7 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 78 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 70 of them were approaches to Earth and 8 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.634 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.423 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 381.1 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0064 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2027-10-21
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2162-10-20 | Earth | 84538.06 | 55,055,057 km 143 LD |
| 2161-10-08 | Earth | 51134.02 | 10,054,721 km 26.2 LD |
| 2141-09-30 | Venus | 50797.19 | 10,674,333 km 27.8 LD |
| 2140-10-16 | Earth | 73294.49 | 40,018,397 km 104 LD |
| 2139-10-05 | Earth | 41555.78 | 4,175,870 km 10.9 LD |
| 2138-10-28 | Earth | 29541.33 | 44,094,259 km 115 LD |
| 2138-08-14 | Earth | 34892.88 | 44,229,193 km 115 LD |
| 2138-06-13 | Venus | 54920.22 | 15,338,211 km 39.9 LD |
| 2137-11-26 | Earth | 36677.63 | 62,262,613 km 162 LD |
| 2137-07-01 | Earth | 51236.58 | 56,046,970 km 146 LD |
| 2136-12-18 | Earth | 38514.67 | 66,665,344 km 173 LD |
| 2134-02-24 | Earth | 49093.55 | 6,937,864 km 18.0 LD |
| 2133-02-12 | Earth | 83302.82 | 52,957,359 km 138 LD |
| 2119-10-19 | Earth | 80534.09 | 49,753,173 km 129 LD |
| 2118-10-06 | Earth | 47066.19 | 4,711,848 km 12.3 LD |
| 2115-12-15 | Earth | 38497.93 | 66,592,160 km 173 LD |
| 2115-06-02 | Earth | 51373.77 | 55,999,023 km 146 LD |
| 2115-01-06 | Earth | 36827.07 | 62,034,768 km 161 LD |
| 2114-04-20 | Earth | 35469.95 | 44,224,729 km 115 LD |
| 2114-02-03 | Earth | 29923.67 | 44,008,223 km 114 LD |
| 2113-02-26 | Earth | 41533.42 | 3,600,144 km 9.37 LD |
| 2112-02-16 | Earth | 73480.98 | 39,850,749 km 104 LD |
| 2074-10-17 | Earth | 76877.75 | 44,899,680 km 117 LD |
| 2073-10-05 | Earth | 46298.71 | 3,729,189 km 9.70 LD |
| 2071-11-17 | Earth | 35067.33 | 57,615,024 km 150 LD |
| 2070-12-08 | Earth | 38150.74 | 65,480,507 km 170 LD |
| 2069-12-28 | Earth | 37613.44 | 63,961,957 km 166 LD |
| 2068-02-26 | Earth | 27563.50 | 24,449,838 km 63.6 LD |
| 2067-02-20 | Earth | 55949.49 | 16,369,415 km 42.6 LD |
| 2066-02-09 | Earth | 86279.88 | 56,886,530 km 148 LD |
| 2051-10-24 | Earth | 96408.74 | 70,795,734 km 184 LD |
| 2050-10-12 | Earth | 66589.50 | 31,054,111 km 80.8 LD |
| 2050-09-06 | Venus | 39775.70 | 4,074,570 km 10.6 LD |
| 2049-10-02 | Earth | 37382.59 | 9,656,223 km 25.1 LD |
| 2047-11-24 | Earth | 36491.70 | 61,351,467 km 160 LD |
| 2047-05-26 | Venus | 52560.99 | 13,534,104 km 35.2 LD |
| 2046-12-15 | Earth | 38337.83 | 66,129,227 km 172 LD |
| 2044-02-27 | Earth | 38266.06 | 8,135,973 km 21.2 LD |
| 2043-02-16 | Earth | 68283.92 | 33,000,165 km 85.8 LD |
| 2042-02-04 | Earth | 98641.11 | 73,056,100 km 190 LD |
| 2040-03-30 | Venus | 56902.48 | 15,527,789 km 40.4 LD |
| 2027-10-21 next | Earth | 88080.76 | 59,864,217 km 156 LD |
| 2026-10-10 | Earth | 58729.53 | 20,410,341 km 53.1 LD |
| 2025-10-01 | Earth | 30210.56 | 20,014,315 km 52.1 LD |
| 2024-11-05 | Earth | 32218.69 | 50,410,919 km 131 LD |
| 2024-07-30 | Earth | 41235.32 | 49,238,429 km 128 LD |
| 2023-11-29 | Earth | 37190.60 | 63,195,808 km 164 LD |
| 2023-06-25 | Earth | 52135.09 | 56,805,567 km 148 LD |
| 2022-12-19 | Earth | 38315.98 | 65,747,579 km 171 LD |
| 2022-05-22 | Earth | 49475.96 | 54,789,263 km 143 LD |
| 2022-01-09 | Earth | 35820.19 | 59,009,272 km 154 LD |
| 2021-04-10 | Earth | 31038.43 | 41,056,511 km 107 LD |
| 2021-02-07 | Earth | 28482.58 | 39,923,542 km 104 LD |
| 2020-02-25 | Earth | 42808.27 | 1,992,624 km 5.18 LD |
| 2019-02-15 | Earth | 70743.50 | 36,307,249 km 94.5 LD |
| 2018-02-04 | Earth | 98937.15 | 73,389,993 km 191 LD |
| 2016-04-01 | Venus | 54402.17 | 13,361,150 km 34.8 LD |
| 2002-10-22 | Earth | 90542.14 | 63,059,579 km 164 LD |
| 2001-10-11 | Earth | 63375.41 | 26,755,556 km 69.6 LD |
| 2000-10-02 | Earth | 36734.19 | 10,513,038 km 27.3 LD |
| 1997-12-11 | Earth | 38138.68 | 65,328,593 km 170 LD |
| 1996-12-29 | Earth | 37415.48 | 63,124,617 km 164 LD |
| 1996-01-21 | Earth | 33330.29 | 52,183,429 km 136 LD |
| 1994-02-21 | Earth | 52056.36 | 11,134,401 km 29.0 LD |
| 1993-02-11 | Earth | 80458.55 | 49,183,460 km 128 LD |
| 1985-12-29 | Venus | 34087.45 | 14,108,956 km 36.7 LD |
| 1976-10-15 | Earth | 74114.42 | 41,233,012 km 107 LD |
| 1975-10-06 | Earth | 46474.05 | 3,983,805 km 10.4 LD |
| 1972-12-02 | Earth | 37587.88 | 63,684,994 km 166 LD |
| 1971-12-21 | Earth | 38165.13 | 65,003,208 km 169 LD |
| 1971-05-21 | Earth | 49396.92 | 54,888,395 km 143 LD |
| 1971-01-09 | Earth | 35731.08 | 58,586,164 km 152 LD |
| 1970-04-14 | Earth | 33496.25 | 43,029,558 km 112 LD |
| 1970-02-03 | Earth | 29417.02 | 42,062,577 km 109 LD |
| 1969-04-05 | Venus | 59078.36 | 18,255,307 km 47.5 LD |
| 1969-02-25 | Earth | 37479.40 | 9,113,403 km 23.7 LD |
| 1968-02-17 | Earth | 64276.02 | 27,582,832 km 71.8 LD |
| 1967-02-07 | Earth | 91404.90 | 63,551,319 km 165 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-05T23:42:02.579058+00:00.