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Designation: 2021 FQ1 · NASA id: 54132234
Estimated diameter: 233 – 522 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
472.1 megatonnes – 17,594 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 491.3 days (1.34 years) |
| Eccentricity | .4464405696512261 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.218441396905666 AU |
| Inclination | 26.02637585540181° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .6744797255844647 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.762403068226867 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.30152 AU = 45,107,199 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 168.3496896371704° |
| Argument of perihelion | 204.5724406154487° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 104.8679168565662° / .7328196483355716°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.049 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2459200.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-03-25 20:42:01 |
| Observed | 2002-03-20 to 2021-03-24 (6944 day arc, 23 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 4 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 105 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 82 of them were approaches to Earth, 15 of them were approaches to Venus and 8 of them were approaches to Mars.
This one’s path runs from 0.674 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.762 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 491.3 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.3015 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2028-07-13
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2197-01-26 | Earth | 60730.93 | 55,717,860 km 145 LD |
| 2194-08-29 | Mars | 42451.61 | 3,313,408 km 8.62 LD |
| 2193-02-01 | Earth | 52323.89 | 59,866,676 km 156 LD |
| 2192-11-22 | Earth | 56881.27 | 65,699,739 km 171 LD |
| 2189-02-11 | Earth | 52814.73 | 71,260,799 km 185 LD |
| 2188-10-22 | Earth | 71631.72 | 59,389,439 km 154 LD |
| 2186-01-30 | Venus | 72439.13 | 7,589,175 km 19.7 LD |
| 2185-04-04 | Mars | 40966.69 | 4,317,312 km 11.2 LD |
| 2184-09-27 | Earth | 74486.40 | 51,008,654 km 133 LD |
| 2180-09-03 | Earth | 73316.20 | 45,213,141 km 118 LD |
| 2176-08-10 | Earth | 72370.86 | 46,954,554 km 122 LD |
| 2175-11-09 | Mars | 39406.41 | 13,606,555 km 35.4 LD |
| 2172-07-18 | Earth | 77180.26 | 58,101,949 km 151 LD |
| 2166-02-01 | Earth | 88892.79 | 74,577,344 km 194 LD |
| 2164-07-18 | Venus | 73070.87 | 8,755,243 km 22.8 LD |
| 2162-01-26 | Earth | 66249.08 | 57,783,506 km 150 LD |
| 2158-01-30 | Earth | 53067.25 | 57,991,879 km 151 LD |
| 2154-02-09 | Earth | 52511.82 | 69,361,858 km 180 LD |
| 2153-10-26 | Earth | 70491.90 | 60,575,998 km 158 LD |
| 2149-09-29 | Earth | 74438.83 | 51,665,816 km 134 LD |
| 2145-09-05 | Earth | 73462.95 | 45,392,141 km 118 LD |
| 2143-01-01 | Venus | 76868.84 | 16,079,525 km 41.8 LD |
| 2141-08-11 | Earth | 72379.51 | 46,899,927 km 122 LD |
| 2137-07-17 | Earth | 77653.07 | 58,976,802 km 153 LD |
| 2136-04-15 | Venus | 71095.22 | 20,791,848 km 54.1 LD |
| 2131-01-31 | Earth | 86058.34 | 72,122,557 km 188 LD |
| 2127-01-26 | Earth | 63710.26 | 56,965,551 km 148 LD |
| 2123-01-31 | Earth | 52539.10 | 59,188,314 km 154 LD |
| 2122-11-27 | Earth | 53305.47 | 65,873,686 km 171 LD |
| 2119-02-11 | Earth | 52786.33 | 71,287,659 km 185 LD |
| 2118-10-22 | Earth | 71638.57 | 59,268,215 km 154 LD |
| 2114-09-27 | Venus | 70137.73 | 10,934,635 km 28.4 LD |
| 2114-09-25 | Earth | 74502.08 | 50,234,742 km 131 LD |
| 2110-09-01 | Earth | 73211.45 | 45,022,615 km 117 LD |
| 2106-08-08 | Earth | 72550.74 | 47,929,362 km 125 LD |
| 2102-07-15 | Earth | 78563.35 | 60,582,274 km 158 LD |
| 2096-01-30 | Earth | 84980.23 | 71,343,845 km 186 LD |
| 2093-03-12 | Venus | 70771.57 | 6,945,214 km 18.1 LD |
| 2092-01-25 | Earth | 63206.52 | 56,960,416 km 148 LD |
| 2088-01-30 | Earth | 52563.18 | 59,153,593 km 154 LD |
| 2087-11-27 | Earth | 52796.81 | 65,886,999 km 171 LD |
| 2084-02-09 | Earth | 52646.55 | 70,427,086 km 183 LD |
| 2083-10-23 | Earth | 71197.27 | 59,773,149 km 155 LD |
| 2079-09-28 | Earth | 74509.68 | 51,214,429 km 133 LD |
| 2075-09-04 | Earth | 73513.50 | 45,418,552 km 118 LD |
| 2071-08-30 | Venus | 70849.18 | 6,770,996 km 17.6 LD |
| 2071-08-11 | Earth | 72408.53 | 46,748,510 km 122 LD |
| 2067-07-19 | Earth | 76378.02 | 57,184,661 km 149 LD |
| 2057-05-11 | Mars | 43741.29 | 9,302,538 km 24.2 LD |
| 2057-01-25 | Earth | 70191.54 | 60,419,069 km 157 LD |
| 2053-01-26 | Earth | 54903.52 | 56,661,202 km 147 LD |
| 2050-02-19 | Venus | 70332.50 | 9,016,551 km 23.5 LD |
| 2049-02-04 | Earth | 52033.46 | 65,154,608 km 169 LD |
| 2048-11-03 | Earth | 66725.52 | 63,103,233 km 164 LD |
| 2047-12-15 | Mars | 42073.52 | 2,134,075 km 5.55 LD |
| 2044-10-09 | Earth | 73778.31 | 55,487,602 km 144 LD |
| 2040-09-17 | Earth | 74503.35 | 48,313,845 km 126 LD |
| 2038-07-21 | Mars | 41102.38 | 3,618,786 km 9.41 LD |
| 2036-08-26 | Earth | 72957.89 | 44,924,722 km 117 LD |
| 2032-08-04 | Earth | 72720.12 | 48,762,793 km 127 LD |
| 2029-02-24 | Mars | 40038.37 | 9,592,341 km 25.0 LD |
| 2028-08-17 | Venus | 71382.22 | 21,389,088 km 55.6 LD |
| 2028-07-13 next | Earth | 78536.52 | 60,868,162 km 158 LD |
| 2022-01-30 | Earth | 88384.77 | 74,791,462 km 195 LD |
| 2018-01-24 | Earth | 67861.42 | 59,248,287 km 154 LD |
| 2014-01-26 | Earth | 54149.41 | 57,182,534 km 149 LD |
| 2013-10-25 | Venus | 74625.47 | 12,024,846 km 31.3 LD |
| 2010-02-05 | Earth | 52040.92 | 66,392,797 km 173 LD |
| 2009-11-01 | Earth | 68049.72 | 62,359,618 km 162 LD |
| 2005-10-06 | Earth | 74134.13 | 54,199,626 km 141 LD |
| 2001-09-13 | Earth | 74201.07 | 47,089,198 km 123 LD |
| 1997-08-21 | Earth | 72678.20 | 45,136,071 km 117 LD |
| 1993-07-29 | Earth | 73486.89 | 51,333,346 km 134 LD |
| 1992-04-17 | Venus | 72232.17 | 7,262,482 km 18.9 LD |
| 1989-07-07 | Earth | 82174.42 | 66,337,067 km 173 LD |
| 1983-01-27 | Earth | 79136.30 | 66,947,270 km 174 LD |
| 1979-01-24 | Earth | 59439.83 | 56,569,794 km 147 LD |
| 1975-01-31 | Earth | 51949.34 | 61,517,259 km 160 LD |
| 1974-11-16 | Earth | 60399.55 | 65,118,805 km 169 LD |
| 1971-02-10 | Earth | 52965.16 | 73,238,830 km 191 LD |
| 1970-10-16 | Earth | 72644.39 | 57,761,936 km 150 LD |
| 1970-10-05 | Venus | 72231.20 | 7,278,015 km 18.9 LD |
| 1966-09-21 | Earth | 74573.04 | 49,189,899 km 128 LD |
| 1962-08-27 | Earth | 73085.36 | 44,972,825 km 117 LD |
| 1958-08-03 | Earth | 72841.30 | 49,187,524 km 128 LD |
| 1954-07-11 | Earth | 79705.63 | 62,948,236 km 164 LD |
| 1949-03-22 | Venus | 74328.43 | 11,499,047 km 29.9 LD |
| 1948-01-28 | Earth | 82190.10 | 69,662,330 km 181 LD |
| 1944-01-24 | Earth | 60447.44 | 56,933,452 km 148 LD |
| 1940-01-31 | Earth | 51943.21 | 61,557,490 km 160 LD |
| 1939-11-16 | Earth | 60326.10 | 65,110,472 km 169 LD |
| 1936-02-11 | Earth | 53037.72 | 73,810,198 km 192 LD |
| 1935-10-15 | Earth | 72867.88 | 57,326,071 km 149 LD |
| 1931-09-20 | Earth | 74572.42 | 48,787,744 km 127 LD |
| 1927-09-04 | Venus | 79707.76 | 21,241,712 km 55.3 LD |
| 1927-08-26 | Earth | 73014.65 | 44,995,404 km 117 LD |
| 1923-08-01 | Earth | 73129.84 | 50,305,773 km 131 LD |
| 1920-12-16 | Venus | 70530.85 | 15,990,648 km 41.6 LD |
| 1919-07-08 | Earth | 81473.48 | 65,681,403 km 171 LD |
| 1913-01-26 | Earth | 78749.95 | 67,069,619 km 174 LD |
| 1909-01-23 | Earth | 58583.12 | 56,819,092 km 148 LD |
| 1905-01-31 | Earth | 51850.50 | 62,742,615 km 163 LD |
| 1904-11-11 | Earth | 62790.18 | 64,517,007 km 168 LD |
| 1901-04-02 | Mars | 44708.34 | 13,708,699 km 35.7 LD |
| 1900-10-12 | Earth | 73365.29 | 56,333,003 km 147 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T13:12:33.122685+00:00.