Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
| Name | Diameter (m) | Hazardous | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (2006 QQ56) | 17.6 – 39.3
≈ the Chelyabinsk object
|
No | 25,346
21 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 1.6 hours |
31,105,716 km 80.9 LD |
| (2008 GC110) | 92.2 – 206.1
≈ a football pitch
|
No | 28,947
23 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 83 minutes |
15,845,675 km 41.2 LD routine
about 101 times a year |
| (2008 SE) | 331.6 – 741.4
≈ the Burj Khalifa
|
No | 19,460
16 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 2.1 hours |
35,662,958 km 92.8 LD |
| (2008 TL26) | 30.5 – 68.2
≈ an airliner's wingspan
|
No | 42,047
34 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 57 minutes |
18,381,244 km 47.8 LD routine
about 138 times a year |
| (2008 TS26) | 0.6 – 1.4
≈ a car
|
No | 56,751
46 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 42 minutes |
12,638 km 0.03 LD — closer than the Moon occasional
about 2 times a year |
| (2009 VS25) | 35.0 – 78.4
≈ an airliner's wingspan
|
No | 26,179
21 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 1.5 hours |
36,213,628 km 94.2 LD |
| (2013 VL2) | 94.3 – 210.9
≈ a football pitch
|
No | 39,679
32 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 61 minutes |
62,097,614 km 162 LD |
| (2015 FQ) | 93.0 – 208.0
≈ a football pitch
|
No | 104,897
85 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 23 minutes |
42,753,078 km 111 LD |
| (2015 TK143) | 160.2 – 358.1
≈ the Great Pyramid
|
No | 58,127
47 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 41 minutes |
32,443,068 km 84.4 LD |
The tag beside a distance says how often an approach at least that close, by an object of that size, appears in 127 years of this archive — a frequency rather than a percentile, because almost every close approach would score in the top few per cent and the scale would say nothing. Approaches beyond 50 lunar distances get no tag, since there is nothing useful to say about them. The counts are a floor: the archive holds the objects known today, and most of the undiscovered ones are small. The ≈ line beside a diameter compares size only. What an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, and none of that follows from width — the Chelyabinsk comparison in particular names a body remembered for its airburst, not for how wide it was.