Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
| Name | Diameter (m) | Hazardous | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (2006 SE6) | 67.7 – 151.4
≈ a football pitch
|
No | 63,749
52 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 38 minutes |
69,290,123 km 180 LD |
| (2008 TC2) | 55.5 – 124.2
≈ a football pitch
|
No | 65,039
53 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 37 minutes |
39,877,603 km 104 LD |
| (2011 OJ45) | 16.8 – 37.5
≈ the Chelyabinsk object
|
No | 29,245
24 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 82 minutes |
11,914,708 km 31.0 LD routine
about 138 times a year |
| (2012 DR32) | 29.1 – 65.2
≈ an airliner's wingspan
|
No | 59,565
48 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 40 minutes |
1,797,302 km 4.68 LD routine
about 9 times a year |
| (2016 EF156) | 30.5 – 68.2
≈ an airliner's wingspan
|
No | 105,801
86 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 23 minutes |
62,632,031 km 163 LD |
| (2017 BU6) | 90.9 – 203.3
≈ a football pitch
|
No | 33,794
27 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 71 minutes |
13,018,861 km 33.9 LD routine
about 101 times a year |
| (2017 CQ1) | 36.7 – 82.0
≈ an airliner's wingspan
|
No | 20,158
16 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 2.0 hours |
13,852,479 km 36.0 LD routine
about 138 times a year |
| (2017 CO5) | 249.2 – 557.2
≈ the Burj Khalifa
|
No | 54,258
44 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 44 minutes |
60,177,432 km 157 LD |
| (2017 EA) | 1.8 – 4.1
≈ a car
|
No | 66,315
54 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 36 minutes |
20,897 km 0.05 LD — closer than the Moon occasional
about 2 times a year |
| (2017 ED) | 14.6 – 32.7
≈ the Chelyabinsk object
|
No | 18,061
15 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 2.2 hours |
2,056,508 km 5.35 LD routine
about 25 times a year |
| (2017 EF3) | 36.7 – 82.0
≈ an airliner's wingspan
|
No | 61,450
50 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 39 minutes |
7,111,359 km 18.5 LD routine
about 58 times a year |
| (2017 EJ3) | 60.1 – 134.3
≈ a football pitch
|
No | 23,880
19 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 1.7 hours |
28,377,316 km 73.8 LD |
| (2017 FR102) | 30.2 – 67.6
≈ an airliner's wingspan
|
No | 33,957
28 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 71 minutes |
6,089,658 km 15.8 LD routine
about 58 times a year |
| (2019 QJ4) | 24.2 – 54.2
≈ an airliner's wingspan
|
No | 21,561
17 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 1.9 hours |
15,689,224 km 40.8 LD routine
about 138 times a year |
The tag beside a distance says how often an approach at least that close, by an object of that size, appears in 127 years of this archive — a frequency rather than a percentile, because almost every close approach would score in the top few per cent and the scale would say nothing. Approaches beyond 50 lunar distances get no tag, since there is nothing useful to say about them. The counts are a floor: the archive holds the objects known today, and most of the undiscovered ones are small. The ≈ line beside a diameter compares size only. What an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, and none of that follows from width — the Chelyabinsk comparison in particular names a body remembered for its airburst, not for how wide it was.